Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Smith wins 62.1% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 52.6% vs Getzlaf 49.4% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 76.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 82.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 56.8%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Smith
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Smith
Getzlaf
Last 6: Smith 4-2 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Smith
Getzlaf
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
0
Smith
Getzlaf
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Getzlaf
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (127)
48.1% (939)
+4.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
56.8% (222)
+43.2%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
41.4% (58)
+14.7%
On power play, Smith has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Smith is 62.1% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Smith shoots right. Getzlaf is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Smith
Getzlaf
Home
56.2% (121)
49.4% (591)
Away
50.0% (64)
49.4% (628)
By Period
Smith
Getzlaf
P1
55.7%
50.0%
P2
46.3%
47.4%
P3
57.4%
50.6%
OT
100.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
62.5%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
54.1%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 17:17 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 11:56 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 06:55 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |