Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 50.6% vs Monahan 46.3% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 80.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 58.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 59.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Smith
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Smith
Monahan
Last 7: Smith 2-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
4
Smith
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Smith
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (325)
45.9% (908)
+6.7%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
49.1% (108)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (54)
30.0% (20)
+5.2%
On power play, Smith has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Smith is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Smith shoots right. Monahan is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Smith
Monahan
Home
50.3% (181)
48.7% (528)
Away
51.2% (213)
43.1% (508)
By Period
Smith
Monahan
P1
54.2%
50.1%
P2
44.4%
44.7%
P3
54.2%
42.7%
OT
66.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.7%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |