Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.2%). Look for Fiddler on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Fiddler 52.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 58.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 68.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 57.1%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Smith
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Smith
Fiddler
Last 8: Smith 3-5 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
1
2
Smith
Fiddler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
1
2
Smith
Fiddler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Fiddler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
53.7% (4,899)
+0.0%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
50.0% (154)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
46.9% (1,479)
-1.4%
On power play, Smith has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Fiddler is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,195).
Home / Away
Smith
Fiddler
Home
53.8% (860)
53.1% (3,191)
Away
49.8% (805)
51.2% (3,366)
By Period
Smith
Fiddler
P1
52.1%
52.1%
P2
50.2%
52.6%
P3
53.3%
52.0%
OT
62.5%
46.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 14:52 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 3 | 03:09 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 1 | 09:51 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Ben Smith |