Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Smith wins 62.1% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 52.6% vs Trocheck 49.5% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 68.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 72.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 50.5%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Smith
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Smith
Trocheck
Last 8: Smith 6-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
3
1
Smith
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (127)
49.1% (948)
+3.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
56.0% (84)
+44.0%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
47.3% (74)
+8.8%
On power play, Smith has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Smith is 62.1% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Smith shoots right. Trocheck is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Smith
Trocheck
Home
56.2% (121)
49.5% (527)
Away
50.0% (64)
49.4% (579)
By Period
Smith
Trocheck
P1
55.7%
49.5%
P2
46.3%
48.5%
P3
57.4%
50.3%
OT
100.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
62.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
54.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2016 | 2 | 14:30 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 16:42 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 16:33 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 1 | 11:57 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 1 | 00:42 | Defensive | Ben Smith |