Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sobotka on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Sobotka 55.8% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sobotka 67.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 77.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 55.7%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Smith
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Smith
Sobotka
Last 6: Smith 2-4 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
1
2
Smith
Sobotka
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
1
2
Smith
Sobotka
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
56.9% (2,613)
-3.2%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
57.0% (223)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
50.6% (447)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Sobotka has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Sobotka is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,141).
Home / Away
Smith
Sobotka
Home
53.8% (860)
58.7% (1,601)
Away
49.8% (805)
53.5% (1,685)
By Period
Smith
Sobotka
P1
52.1%
56.2%
P2
50.2%
56.3%
P3
53.3%
55.3%
OT
62.5%
61.4%
Final 5 min
53.0%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |