Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sobotka on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 50.6% vs Sobotka 60.6% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sobotka 69.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 65.8%
Neutral zone
Sobotka 50.2%
Result
Vladimir Sobotka favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Smith
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Smith
Sobotka
Last 5: Smith 2-3 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
1
2
Smith
Sobotka
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Sobotka
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (325)
62.0% (637)
-9.4%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
62.6% (91)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (54)
60.0% (85)
-24.8%
On penalty kill, Sobotka has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Smith is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Smith shoots right. Sobotka is 68.1% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Smith
Sobotka
Home
50.3% (181)
65.8% (371)
Away
51.2% (213)
58.6% (442)
By Period
Smith
Sobotka
P1
54.2%
63.0%
P2
44.4%
61.4%
P3
54.2%
60.7%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
64.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Ben Smith |