Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pouliot wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pouliot 47.0% vs Fiddler 50.7% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pouliot 91.7%
Defensive zone
Pouliot 58.2%
Neutral zone
Pouliot 72.5%
Result
Benoit Pouliot favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Pouliot
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Pouliot
Fiddler
Last 5: Pouliot 0-5 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
1
Pouliot
Fiddler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
4
Pouliot
Fiddler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pouliot
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (47)
52.4% (590)
-9.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
48.3% (29)
-48.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.5% (278)
-47.5%
On power play, Fiddler has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Pouliot is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (30).
Pouliot shoots left. Fiddler is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Pouliot
Fiddler
Home
38.9% (18)
51.6% (434)
Away
41.9% (31)
49.9% (463)
By Period
Pouliot
Fiddler
P1
25.0%
45.4%
P2
43.8%
52.1%
P3
50.0%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
25.0%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pouliot
32.0%▼
38.5%
40.8%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 13:16 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 17:51 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 13:46 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 13:39 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |