Scouting Report
Berkly Catton holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Catton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Catton wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Svechkov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Catton 46.8% vs Svechkov 44.2% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Catton 78.8%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 60.4%
Neutral zone
Catton 60.0%
Result
Berkly Catton favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Catton
Svechkov
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Catton
Svechkov
Last 6: Catton 4-2 Svechkov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Catton
3
0
Catton
Svechkov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
0
1
Catton
Svechkov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Catton
Svechkov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Catton
Svechkov
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (111)
43.0% (430)
+0.2%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
33.3% (3)
+21.2%
On power play, Catton has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Svechkov shoots left. Catton is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Catton shoots left. Svechkov is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Catton
Svechkov
Home
50.0% (72)
41.0% (212)
Away
36.0% (50)
44.7% (226)
By Period
Catton
Svechkov
P1
48.8%
36.1%
P2
39.6%
45.4%
P3
45.2%
46.7%
Final 5 min
36.4%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Catton
44.0%▬
44.3%
44.3%
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 05:00 | Offensive | Berkly Catton |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 09:26 | Neutral | Berkly Catton |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 05:52 | Offensive | Berkly Catton |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 18:07 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Berkly Catton |