Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Jones wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Paquette shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 47.3% vs Paquette 48.8% (-2.0%)
Offensive zone
Jones 57.5%
Defensive zone
Paquette 62.9%
Neutral zone
Jones 54.5%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Jones
Paquette
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Paquette
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (494)
49.7% (2,579)
-1.1%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
55.8% (43)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (62)
42.5% (426)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Paquette has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paquette shoots left. Jones is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Jones shoots right. Paquette is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,176).
Home / Away
Jones
Paquette
Home
48.9% (272)
50.2% (1,541)
Away
45.0% (311)
47.4% (1,507)
By Period
Jones
Paquette
P1
47.1%
49.1%
P2
49.7%
49.9%
P3
44.8%
47.5%
OT
25.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%