Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 47.0%). Jones wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 47.3% vs Foligno 47.3% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 60.5%
Defensive zone
Jones 57.6%
Neutral zone
Jones 53.3%
Result
Blair Jones favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Jones
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (494)
47.6% (553)
+1.0%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
56.3% (64)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (62)
34.7% (75)
-2.4%
On power play, Foligno has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Jones is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Jones shoots right. Foligno is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Jones
Foligno
Home
48.9% (272)
46.0% (365)
Away
45.0% (311)
48.0% (327)
By Period
Jones
Foligno
P1
47.1%
48.7%
P2
49.7%
49.8%
P3
44.8%
42.9%
OT
25.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
43.7%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Foligno
42.0%▬
41.0%
47.0%