Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Jones wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 47.3% vs Hanzal 53.7% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jones 51.4%
Defensive zone
Jones 58.5%
Neutral zone
Jones 59.6%
Result
Blair Jones favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Jones
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Jones
Hanzal
Last 7: Jones 3-4 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Jones
Hanzal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jones
1
0
Jones
Hanzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
2
Jones
Hanzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (494)
54.0% (5,547)
-5.4%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
56.7% (1,179)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (62)
46.0% (644)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Hanzal has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Jones is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Jones shoots right. Hanzal is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Jones
Hanzal
Home
48.9% (272)
55.1% (3,687)
Away
45.0% (311)
52.3% (3,704)
By Period
Jones
Hanzal
P1
47.1%
54.9%
P2
49.7%
53.6%
P3
44.8%
52.4%
OT
25.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
43.7%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2013 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Feb 9, 2012 | OT | 02:15 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 9, 2012 | OT | 02:07 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 04:01 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 00:41 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |