Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jones wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 44.3% vs Hanzal 51.9% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jones 53.3%
Defensive zone
Jones 69.8%
Neutral zone
Jones 67.3%
Result
Blair Jones favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Jones
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jones
Hanzal
Last 6: Jones 2-4 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
2
Jones
Hanzal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jones
1
0
Jones
Hanzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
2
Jones
Hanzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (243)
52.2% (782)
-9.4%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
55.4% (202)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (41)
45.6% (103)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Hanzal has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Jones is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Jones shoots right. Hanzal is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (400).
Home / Away
Jones
Hanzal
Home
48.3% (149)
55.2% (580)
Away
36.6% (153)
48.5% (517)
By Period
Jones
Hanzal
P1
42.6%
55.3%
P2
48.3%
51.2%
P3
38.3%
49.0%
OT
28.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
42.4%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2012 | OT | 02:15 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 9, 2012 | OT | 02:07 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 04:01 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 00:41 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |