Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jones wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 47.3% vs Cullen 53.6% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Cullen leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Jones 70.9%
Defensive zone
Jones 62.2%
Neutral zone
Jones 67.9%
Result
Blair Jones favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Jones
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Jones
Cullen
Last 10: Jones 4-6 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jones
3
1
Jones
Cullen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
4
Jones
Cullen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
2
Jones
Cullen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (494)
54.8% (5,371)
-6.2%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
52.3% (421)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (62)
48.0% (953)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Cullen has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Jones is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Jones shoots right. Cullen is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,344).
Home / Away
Jones
Cullen
Home
48.9% (272)
55.8% (3,288)
Away
45.0% (311)
51.6% (3,488)
By Period
Jones
Cullen
P1
47.1%
54.7%
P2
49.7%
52.8%
P3
44.8%
53.3%
OT
25.0%
62.7%
Final 5 min
43.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2014 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 2 | 14:51 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 1 | 08:14 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 04:53 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |