Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jones wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 44.3% vs Cullen 53.0% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jones 67.7%
Defensive zone
Jones 66.8%
Neutral zone
Jones 66.4%
Result
Blair Jones favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Jones
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Jones
Cullen
Last 8: Jones 3-5 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jones
2
1
Jones
Cullen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
3
Jones
Cullen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jones
Cullen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (243)
56.0% (915)
-13.2%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
43.1% (116)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (41)
43.6% (133)
-9.5%
On power play, Jones has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Jones is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Jones shoots right. Cullen is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (359).
Home / Away
Jones
Cullen
Home
48.3% (149)
56.9% (559)
Away
36.6% (153)
49.9% (619)
By Period
Jones
Cullen
P1
42.6%
56.6%
P2
48.3%
51.6%
P3
38.3%
50.5%
OT
28.6%
69.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
42.4%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 04:53 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |