Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jones on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jones wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 47.3% vs Koivu 54.0% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 76.6%
Defensive zone
Koivu 65.2%
Neutral zone
Koivu 61.5%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Jones
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Jones
Koivu
Last 7: Jones 4-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jones
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jones
2
1
Jones
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jones
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (494)
54.0% (9,465)
-5.4%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
58.6% (2,100)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (62)
48.9% (1,688)
-16.6%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Jones is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Jones shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Home / Away
Jones
Koivu
Home
48.9% (272)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
45.0% (311)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Jones
Koivu
P1
47.1%
53.5%
P2
49.7%
54.6%
P3
44.8%
54.0%
OT
25.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
43.7%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 18:54 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 16:47 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 14:56 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Blair Jones |