Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jones wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 47.3% vs Bonino 50.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Jones 56.4%
Defensive zone
Bonino 60.4%
Neutral zone
Jones 56.3%
Result
Blair Jones favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Jones
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Jones
Bonino
Last 10: Jones 4-6 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jones
4
3
Jones
Bonino
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jones
3
2
Jones
Bonino
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
3
Jones
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (494)
50.6% (8,315)
-2.0%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
54.1% (972)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (62)
44.6% (1,693)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Jones is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Jones shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Jones
Bonino
Home
48.9% (272)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
45.0% (311)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Jones
Bonino
P1
47.1%
50.6%
P2
49.7%
48.5%
P3
44.8%
51.1%
OT
25.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
43.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 02:12 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 1 | 18:45 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 1 | 13:32 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 1 | 02:09 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 10:17 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Blair Jones |