Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 48.9% vs Bergeron 58.1% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jones 83.1%
Defensive zone
Jones 84.3%
Neutral zone
Jones 86.1%
Result
Blair Jones favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Jones
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Jones
Bergeron
Last 9: Jones 1-8 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
Jones
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
5
Jones
Bergeron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Jones
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (60)
59.4% (1,274)
-6.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
57.5% (193)
-28.9%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
55.5% (265)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Jones is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Jones shoots right. Bergeron is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (613).
Home / Away
Jones
Bergeron
Home
47.2% (36)
61.9% (837)
Away
47.5% (40)
55.5% (895)
By Period
Jones
Bergeron
P1
44.8%
60.1%
P2
54.2%
59.2%
P3
45.5%
56.6%
OT
0.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
36.8%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 15:52 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 09:17 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 03:30 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 03:24 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |