Scouting Report
Blair Jones holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 51.6% vs Carter 50.5% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jones 64.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 63.4%
Neutral zone
Jones 50.5%
Result
Blair Jones favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Jones
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Jones
Carter
Last 5: Jones 4-1 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jones
2
0
Jones
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Jones
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jones
2
0
Jones
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (84)
50.7% (404)
+2.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
57.1% (7)
-57.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (62)
+50.0%
On power play, Carter has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Jones is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (54).
Jones shoots right. Carter is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Jones
Carter
Home
47.4% (19)
48.2% (220)
Away
55.2% (67)
52.7% (258)
By Period
Jones
Carter
P1
45.0%
53.2%
P2
60.0%
50.3%
P3
52.8%
48.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
53.5%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 13:52 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 05:05 | Neutral | Blair Jones |