Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jones on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 47.3% vs Kesler 55.9% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 69.2%
Defensive zone
Kesler 76.7%
Neutral zone
Kesler 66.8%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Jones
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Jones
Kesler
Last 7: Jones 4-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Jones
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jones
3
0
Jones
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Jones
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (494)
56.4% (8,095)
-7.8%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
60.7% (1,437)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (62)
50.5% (1,908)
-18.2%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Jones is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Jones shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Jones
Kesler
Home
48.9% (272)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
45.0% (311)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Jones
Kesler
P1
47.1%
56.5%
P2
49.7%
55.9%
P3
44.8%
56.1%
OT
25.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 05:14 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |