Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jones wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 47.3% vs Koivu 51.8% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jones 71.1%
Defensive zone
Jones 69.0%
Neutral zone
Jones 71.8%
Result
Blair Jones favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Jones
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Jones
Koivu
Last 8: Jones 2-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Jones
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Jones
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jones
1
0
Jones
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (494)
51.9% (3,221)
-3.3%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
59.3% (437)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (62)
48.0% (764)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Jones is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Jones shoots right. Koivu is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,337).
Home / Away
Jones
Koivu
Home
48.9% (272)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
45.0% (311)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Jones
Koivu
P1
47.1%
51.1%
P2
49.7%
52.6%
P3
44.8%
51.8%
OT
25.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
43.7%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 6, 2012 | OT | 01:31 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |