Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Coleman wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Little shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 43.3% vs Little 50.6% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Little leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Coleman 60.0%
Defensive zone
Coleman 76.2%
Neutral zone
Coleman 65.0%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Coleman
Little
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Coleman
Little
Last 10: Coleman 4-6 Little
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
1
4
Coleman
Little
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
4
5
Coleman
Little
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coleman
Little
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Little
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (1,060)
50.9% (8,646)
-5.6%
Power Play
34.1% (41)
55.5% (1,593)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (321)
43.5% (1,406)
-7.7%
On power play, Little has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Little shoots right. Coleman is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Coleman shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Home / Away
Coleman
Little
Home
44.5% (663)
52.9% (5,664)
Away
41.4% (759)
48.6% (6,017)
By Period
Coleman
Little
P1
42.4%
50.9%
P2
44.6%
49.6%
P3
41.7%
51.5%
OT
0.0%
49.1%
Final 5 min
42.3%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
42.8%
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2018 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 3 | 00:32 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 16:17 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 06:17 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |