Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Little shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 44.8% vs Little 55.1% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 61.5%
Defensive zone
Coleman 69.0%
Neutral zone
Coleman 56.5%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Coleman
Little
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Coleman
Little
Last 5: Coleman 2-3 Little
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
0
2
Coleman
Little
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coleman
Little
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coleman
1
0
Coleman
Little
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Little
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (196)
57.3% (847)
-12.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
57.5% (160)
-24.2%
Penalty Kill
29.6% (27)
36.7% (90)
-7.1%
On power play, Little has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Little shoots right. Coleman is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Coleman shoots left. Little is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Home / Away
Coleman
Little
Home
42.6% (108)
56.7% (575)
Away
42.4% (118)
54.4% (522)
By Period
Coleman
Little
P1
44.6%
55.4%
P2
42.7%
53.9%
P3
40.3%
57.6%
Final 5 min
39.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
42.5%
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 09:15 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |