Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.7% vs Scheifele 47.2% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 75.9%
Defensive zone
Coleman 68.3%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 52.8%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Coleman
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Coleman
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Coleman
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coleman
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (20)
46.5% (878)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
50.0% (54)
+0.0%
On even strength, Scheifele has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Coleman is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Coleman shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Coleman
Scheifele
Home
50.0% (12)
46.2% (571)
Away
33.3% (18)
47.7% (535)
By Period
Coleman
Scheifele
P1
46.2%
51.9%
P2
40.0%
45.6%
P3
28.6%
43.9%
Final 5 min
55.6%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
40.0%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 02:29 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 04:06 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |