Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coleman wins 37.6% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 43.9% vs Scheifele 46.5% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 63.5%
Defensive zone
Coleman 84.8%
Neutral zone
Coleman 64.9%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Coleman
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Coleman
Scheifele
Last 6: Coleman 1-5 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
3
Coleman
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coleman
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Coleman
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (145)
46.0% (1,277)
-0.5%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
50.4% (339)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (108)
37.5% (120)
-0.5%
On power play, Scheifele has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Coleman is 37.6% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Coleman shoots left. Scheifele is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,173).
Home / Away
Coleman
Scheifele
Home
49.6% (129)
49.0% (836)
Away
33.8% (133)
43.7% (900)
By Period
Coleman
Scheifele
P1
39.5%
46.4%
P2
40.2%
46.0%
P3
45.6%
46.9%
Final 5 min
39.6%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
41.6%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 06:45 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |