Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Coleman wins 37.6% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 43.9% vs Zibanejad 49.7% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coleman 70.4%
Defensive zone
Coleman 83.0%
Neutral zone
Coleman 72.8%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Coleman
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Coleman
Zibanejad
Last 9: Coleman 2-7 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
4
Coleman
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Coleman
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Coleman
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (145)
49.5% (1,211)
-4.0%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
52.8% (214)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (108)
47.4% (247)
-10.4%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Coleman is 37.6% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Coleman shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Coleman
Zibanejad
Home
49.6% (129)
52.8% (825)
Away
33.8% (133)
46.6% (848)
By Period
Coleman
Zibanejad
P1
39.5%
50.8%
P2
40.2%
46.5%
P3
45.6%
52.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
41.6%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 11:35 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 00:30 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 17:32 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 06:30 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 06:55 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |