Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Coleman wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 43.3% vs Thompson 52.9% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coleman 85.0%
Defensive zone
Coleman 91.1%
Neutral zone
Coleman 85.9%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Coleman
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Coleman
Thompson
Last 8: Coleman 0-8 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
5
Coleman
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Coleman
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (1,060)
54.1% (5,812)
-8.8%
Power Play
34.1% (41)
54.8% (135)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (321)
47.9% (1,381)
-12.1%
On power play, Thompson has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Coleman is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Coleman shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Coleman
Thompson
Home
44.5% (663)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
41.4% (759)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Coleman
Thompson
P1
42.4%
53.2%
P2
44.6%
52.9%
P3
41.7%
52.8%
OT
0.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
42.3%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
42.8%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2019 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 14:34 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 00:43 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 02:39 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 2 | 02:19 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |