Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.4% vs Thompson 55.6% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coleman 81.2%
Defensive zone
Coleman 85.8%
Neutral zone
Coleman 84.8%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 85.4%
85.4%
14.6%
Coleman
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Coleman
Thompson
Last 7: Coleman 0-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
4
Coleman
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Coleman
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (430)
57.7% (482)
-9.6%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
100.0% (2)
-63.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (96)
51.9% (154)
-9.2%
On power play, Thompson has a +63.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Coleman is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Coleman shoots left. Thompson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Coleman
Thompson
Home
47.5% (221)
59.0% (327)
Away
46.5% (316)
53.7% (311)
By Period
Coleman
Thompson
P1
46.7%
54.2%
P2
52.4%
61.3%
P3
42.1%
53.9%
Final 5 min
44.3%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
46.9%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 14:34 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 00:43 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 02:39 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 2 | 02:19 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |