Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coleman wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 44.8% vs Gagner 48.0% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 84.5%
Defensive zone
Coleman 72.0%
Neutral zone
Coleman 51.5%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Coleman
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Coleman
Gagner
Last 10: Coleman 5-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
3
Coleman
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
4
2
Coleman
Gagner
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coleman
1
0
Coleman
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (196)
46.5% (310)
-2.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
50.4% (115)
-17.1%
On power play, Gagner has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Coleman is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Coleman shoots left. Gagner is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Coleman
Gagner
Home
42.6% (108)
52.4% (212)
Away
42.4% (118)
42.7% (213)
By Period
Coleman
Gagner
P1
44.6%
46.2%
P2
42.7%
52.2%
P3
40.3%
43.6%
Final 5 min
39.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
42.5%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 1 | 10:28 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 08:11 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |