Scouting Report
Stephen Gionta holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Coleman on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coleman wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 44.8% vs Gionta 48.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gionta 61.2%
Defensive zone
Gionta 51.6%
Neutral zone
Gionta 60.3%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Coleman
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Coleman
Gionta
Last 9: Coleman 5-4 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
3
0
Coleman
Gionta
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
0
2
Coleman
Gionta
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Coleman
Gionta
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (196)
47.7% (86)
-3.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
50.0% (2)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
29.6% (27)
43.8% (32)
-14.2%
On power play, Gionta has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Coleman is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Coleman shoots left. Gionta is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Coleman
Gionta
Home
42.6% (108)
48.0% (50)
Away
42.4% (118)
45.7% (70)
By Period
Coleman
Gionta
P1
44.6%
55.8%
P2
42.7%
40.5%
P3
40.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
39.6%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
42.5%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 02:27 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 19:02 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 02:41 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |