Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 44.8% vs Plekanec 51.1% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 66.1%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 70.0%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 69.9%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Coleman
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Coleman
Plekanec
Last 5: Coleman 3-2 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
1
0
Coleman
Plekanec
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coleman
Plekanec
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coleman
Plekanec
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (196)
53.8% (1,081)
-9.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
48.6% (70)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
29.6% (27)
37.8% (201)
-8.2%
On power play, Plekanec has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Coleman is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Coleman shoots left. Plekanec is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Coleman
Plekanec
Home
42.6% (108)
52.3% (725)
Away
42.4% (118)
49.9% (627)
By Period
Coleman
Plekanec
P1
44.6%
54.6%
P2
42.7%
51.3%
P3
40.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
39.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
42.5%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2017 | 3 | 08:37 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 27, 2017 | 3 | 01:12 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Feb 27, 2017 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Feb 27, 2017 | 1 | 10:56 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |