Scouting Report
Tyler Graovac holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Coleman on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Coleman wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Graovac shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 43.3% vs Graovac 47.1% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Graovac 86.5%
Defensive zone
Coleman 55.0%
Neutral zone
Graovac 64.7%
Result
Tyler Graovac favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Coleman
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Coleman
Graovac
Last 7: Coleman 5-2 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
1
0
Coleman
Graovac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
3
1
Coleman
Graovac
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Coleman
Graovac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (1,060)
46.5% (497)
-1.2%
Power Play
34.1% (41)
50.0% (4)
-15.9%
On power play, Graovac has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Coleman is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Coleman shoots left. Graovac is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Coleman
Graovac
Home
44.5% (663)
47.6% (233)
Away
41.4% (759)
45.5% (268)
By Period
Coleman
Graovac
P1
42.4%
41.7%
P2
44.6%
47.4%
P3
41.7%
51.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
42.8%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 02:15 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 02:34 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 1 | 02:27 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |