Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Comeau wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Comeau 44.6% vs Tavares 54.4% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 56.7%
Defensive zone
Comeau 78.2%
Neutral zone
Comeau 67.0%
Result
Blake Comeau favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Comeau
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Comeau
Tavares
Last 10: Comeau 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
7
Comeau
Tavares
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Comeau
5
2
Comeau
Tavares
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Comeau
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Comeau
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (1,082)
54.0% (16,108)
-8.8%
Power Play
57.4% (129)
56.5% (4,283)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (449)
50.6% (620)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Comeau is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Comeau shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Comeau
Tavares
Home
47.8% (894)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
40.2% (768)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Comeau
Tavares
P1
45.0%
55.0%
P2
44.0%
54.1%
P3
44.3%
54.1%
OT
28.6%
55.9%
Final 5 min
45.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Comeau
56.0%▲
47.0%
44.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | Blake Comeau |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 2 | 17:51 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |