Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Comeau wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Comeau 44.6% vs Duchene 54.1% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Comeau 78.6%
Defensive zone
Comeau 78.5%
Neutral zone
Comeau 77.4%
Result
Blake Comeau favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Comeau
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Comeau
Duchene
Last 10: Comeau 2-8 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
6
Comeau
Duchene
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
3
Comeau
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Comeau
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (1,082)
53.9% (10,396)
-8.7%
Power Play
57.4% (129)
56.9% (1,665)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (449)
49.1% (468)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Comeau is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Comeau shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Home / Away
Comeau
Duchene
Home
47.8% (894)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
40.2% (768)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Comeau
Duchene
P1
45.0%
54.5%
P2
44.0%
54.5%
P3
44.3%
53.4%
OT
28.6%
56.3%
Final 5 min
45.6%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Comeau
56.0%▲
47.0%
44.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2020 | 3 | 00:58 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 1, 2020 | 2 | 00:49 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 1, 2020 | 1 | 00:55 | Neutral | Blake Comeau |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Blake Comeau |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 12:52 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 08:59 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |