Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Comeau wins 37.4% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Comeau 41.5% vs Duchene 52.8% (-14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Comeau 80.8%
Defensive zone
Comeau 79.8%
Neutral zone
Comeau 80.2%
Result
Blake Comeau favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Comeau
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Comeau
Duchene
Last 5: Comeau 0-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
4
Comeau
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Comeau
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Comeau
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (159)
52.6% (1,112)
-12.3%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
56.0% (193)
-31.0%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (108)
49.0% (49)
-12.9%
On power play, Duchene has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Comeau is 37.4% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Comeau shoots right. Duchene is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Home / Away
Comeau
Duchene
Home
43.2% (146)
55.7% (652)
Away
32.8% (125)
50.4% (702)
By Period
Comeau
Duchene
P1
43.9%
51.4%
P2
33.0%
53.9%
P3
39.1%
53.3%
Final 5 min
44.9%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Comeau
56.0%▲
47.0%
38.4%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 12:52 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |