Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Comeau on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Comeau 48.9% vs Johansen 52.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Comeau leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 81.0%
Defensive zone
Comeau 55.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 53.4%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Comeau
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Comeau
Johansen
Last 10: Comeau 8-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Comeau
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Comeau
5
1
Comeau
Johansen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Comeau
2
0
Comeau
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Comeau
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (341)
51.9% (1,006)
-3.2%
Power Play
58.2% (67)
56.0% (207)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (158)
42.4% (33)
+2.5%
On even strength, Johansen has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Comeau is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (159).
Comeau shoots right. Johansen is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Comeau
Johansen
Home
52.7% (298)
56.4% (633)
Away
44.4% (268)
48.1% (613)
By Period
Comeau
Johansen
P1
46.1%
51.4%
P2
50.5%
52.9%
P3
49.5%
51.7%
OT
40.0%
84.6%
Final 5 min
46.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Comeau
56.0%▲
47.0%
48.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2016 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Blake Comeau |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Blake Comeau |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 18:01 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Comeau |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |