Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Comeau wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Comeau 49.0% vs Johansen 51.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 55.6%
Defensive zone
Johansen 55.3%
Neutral zone
Johansen 54.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Comeau
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Comeau
Johansen
Last 5: Comeau 2-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Comeau
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Comeau
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Comeau
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (88)
51.5% (615)
+1.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
54.3% (140)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
21.1% (19)
46.3% (67)
-25.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Comeau is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (29).
Comeau shoots right. Johansen is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Comeau
Johansen
Home
47.2% (53)
52.4% (389)
Away
49.1% (57)
50.8% (433)
By Period
Comeau
Johansen
P1
56.5%
53.4%
P2
36.4%
49.1%
P3
55.6%
51.5%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Comeau
56.0%▲
47.0%
48.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2021 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 1 | 02:37 | Neutral | Blake Comeau |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:12 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 04:36 | Neutral | Blake Comeau |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 00:23 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |