Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Comeau wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Comeau 46.9% vs Monahan 52.4% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Comeau 54.2%
Defensive zone
Comeau 75.0%
Neutral zone
Comeau 60.1%
Result
Blake Comeau favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Comeau
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Comeau
Monahan
Last 6: Comeau 2-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Comeau
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Comeau
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Comeau
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (74)
52.1% (858)
-10.2%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
55.9% (177)
+27.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
33.3% (9)
+4.2%
On power play, Comeau has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Comeau is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Comeau shoots right. Monahan is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Comeau
Monahan
Home
46.9% (49)
52.6% (504)
Away
40.4% (47)
52.6% (540)
By Period
Comeau
Monahan
P1
45.7%
56.7%
P2
45.5%
52.1%
P3
39.3%
48.1%
Final 5 min
56.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Comeau
56.0%▲
47.0%
43.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2019 | 3 | 10:21 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Blake Comeau |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 10:57 | Neutral | Blake Comeau |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |