Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Comeau wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Comeau 49.0% vs Aho 52.4% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Comeau 52.4%
Defensive zone
Aho 54.6%
Neutral zone
Comeau 53.8%
Result
Blake Comeau favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Comeau
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Comeau
Aho
Last 5: Comeau 2-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Comeau
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Comeau
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Comeau
1
0
Comeau
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Comeau
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (88)
52.4% (622)
+1.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
60.7% (28)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
21.1% (19)
52.4% (42)
-31.3%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Comeau is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Comeau shoots right. Aho is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Comeau
Aho
Home
47.2% (53)
54.9% (359)
Away
49.1% (57)
50.5% (333)
By Period
Comeau
Aho
P1
56.5%
51.6%
P2
36.4%
53.3%
P3
55.6%
52.7%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Comeau
56.0%▲
47.0%
48.2%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Blake Comeau |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 13, 2021 | OT | 03:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 00:34 | Neutral | Blake Comeau |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |