Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Comeau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Comeau 44.6% vs Seguin 53.6% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 53.1%
Defensive zone
Seguin 51.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 52.2%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Comeau
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Comeau
Seguin
Last 10: Comeau 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Comeau
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Comeau
4
2
Comeau
Seguin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Comeau
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Comeau
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (1,082)
53.7% (8,071)
-8.5%
Power Play
57.4% (129)
55.9% (810)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (449)
49.3% (762)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Comeau is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Comeau shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Comeau
Seguin
Home
47.8% (894)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
40.2% (768)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Comeau
Seguin
P1
45.0%
52.8%
P2
44.0%
53.3%
P3
44.3%
54.7%
OT
28.6%
54.7%
Final 5 min
45.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Comeau
56.0%▲
47.0%
44.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 14:56 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 16:51 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Blake Comeau |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |