Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Geoffrion wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geoffrion 47.7% vs Kesler 55.9% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geoffrion 70.7%
Defensive zone
Geoffrion 76.2%
Neutral zone
Geoffrion 74.1%
Result
Blake Geoffrion favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Geoffrion
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Geoffrion
Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Geoffrion
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Geoffrion
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geoffrion
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (221)
56.4% (8,095)
-10.2%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
60.7% (1,437)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
50.5% (1,908)
-0.5%
On power play, Geoffrion has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Geoffrion is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Geoffrion shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Geoffrion
Kesler
Home
46.4% (125)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
47.1% (119)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Geoffrion
Kesler
P1
44.6%
56.5%
P2
48.2%
55.9%
P3
47.4%
56.1%
Final 5 min
49.1%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geoffrion
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |