Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 50.2%). Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Galchenyuk 50.6% vs Lizotte 50.1% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Galchenyuk 59.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 52.4%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 50.5%
Result
Alex Galchenyuk favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Galchenyuk
Lizotte
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Galchenyuk
Lizotte
Last 5: Galchenyuk 2-3 Lizotte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Galchenyuk
1
0
Galchenyuk
Lizotte
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
0
1
Galchenyuk
Lizotte
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
2
Galchenyuk
Lizotte
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Galchenyuk
Lizotte
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (112)
50.3% (549)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
60.9% (23)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
44.0% (50)
+22.7%
On penalty kill, Galchenyuk has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lizotte shoots left. Galchenyuk is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Galchenyuk shoots left. Lizotte is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Galchenyuk
Lizotte
Home
43.9% (57)
48.5% (336)
Away
56.8% (74)
52.1% (286)
By Period
Galchenyuk
Lizotte
P1
43.6%
48.2%
P2
59.6%
54.1%
P3
47.7%
47.1%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Galchenyuk
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.1%
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alex Galchenyuk |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |