Scouting Report
Colin Blackwell holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lizotte wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Blackwell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.1% vs Blackwell 52.4% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Blackwell 51.6%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 52.4%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 50.3%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Lizotte
Blackwell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lizotte
Blackwell
Last 5: Lizotte 3-2 Blackwell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
0
1
Lizotte
Blackwell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
1
Lizotte
Blackwell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Blackwell
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (549)
56.3% (64)
-6.0%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
50.0% (2)
+10.9%
On power play, Lizotte has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blackwell shoots right. Lizotte is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Lizotte shoots left. Blackwell is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Blackwell
Home
48.5% (336)
50.0% (16)
Away
52.1% (286)
58.0% (50)
By Period
Lizotte
Blackwell
P1
48.2%
50.0%
P2
54.1%
65.4%
P3
47.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
76.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.2%
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |