Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Dewar 45.5% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 82.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 59.6%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 69.1%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Lizotte
Dewar
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lizotte
Dewar
Last 6: Lizotte 4-2 Dewar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Dewar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
0
1
Lizotte
Dewar
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Dewar
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Dewar
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
45.4% (1,008)
+6.2%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
60.9% (23)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
41.8% (194)
+0.5%
On power play, Dewar has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dewar shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Dewar is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Dewar
Home
49.5% (1,840)
43.4% (588)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
46.8% (637)
By Period
Lizotte
Dewar
P1
48.0%
43.9%
P2
52.3%
47.1%
P3
50.5%
44.3%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 10:13 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |