Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs McKegg 49.2% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 54.0%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 56.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 57.8%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Lizotte
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lizotte
McKegg
Last 5: Lizotte 3-2 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
McKegg
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
0
1
Lizotte
McKegg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
McKegg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
49.1% (1,143)
+2.5%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
50.0% (24)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
48.8% (86)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, McKegg has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. McKegg is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Lizotte
McKegg
Home
49.5% (1,840)
50.4% (554)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
48.1% (699)
By Period
Lizotte
McKegg
P1
48.0%
48.7%
P2
52.3%
49.9%
P3
50.5%
48.6%
Final 5 min
50.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2020 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 13:22 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 16:41 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 13:38 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |