Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs McKegg 49.2% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 59.1%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 60.4%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 60.9%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Lizotte
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lizotte
McKegg
Last 5: Lizotte 3-2 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
McKegg
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
0
1
Lizotte
McKegg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
McKegg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (3,005)
49.1% (1,143)
+2.6%
Power Play
49.4% (77)
50.0% (24)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (409)
48.8% (86)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, McKegg has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Lizotte is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,332).
Lizotte shoots left. McKegg is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Lizotte
McKegg
Home
49.8% (1,780)
50.4% (554)
Away
51.6% (1,711)
48.1% (699)
By Period
Lizotte
McKegg
P1
48.2%
48.7%
P2
52.8%
49.9%
P3
50.7%
48.6%
Final 5 min
50.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
50.7%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2020 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 13:22 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 16:41 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 13:38 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |