Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 49.4%). Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.1% vs Thornton 49.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 50.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 57.5%
Neutral zone
Thornton 50.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Lizotte
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Lizotte
Thornton
Last 9: Lizotte 7-2 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Thornton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
1
Lizotte
Thornton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (549)
48.9% (583)
+1.4%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
52.5% (59)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (50)
58.3% (12)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Lizotte is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (426).
Lizotte shoots left. Thornton is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Thornton
Home
48.5% (336)
51.6% (341)
Away
52.1% (286)
47.0% (313)
By Period
Lizotte
Thornton
P1
48.2%
53.9%
P2
54.1%
46.9%
P3
47.1%
47.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.2%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 16:17 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 13:02 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 12:58 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |