Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.8% vs Draisaitl 55.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 93.1%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 78.5%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 59.0%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Lizotte
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lizotte
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (279)
54.3% (672)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (102)
54.3% (35)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Lizotte is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (244).
Lizotte shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Draisaitl
Home
45.1% (182)
54.4% (454)
Away
58.8% (199)
57.9% (439)
By Period
Lizotte
Draisaitl
P1
51.9%
55.2%
P2
50.0%
54.8%
P3
54.3%
57.9%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
52.2%
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 14:27 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |