Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs Couture 48.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Couture leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 51.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 55.2%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 51.9%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Lizotte
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Lizotte
Couture
Last 10: Lizotte 7-3 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
4
2
Lizotte
Couture
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
4
Lizotte
Couture
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Couture
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (3,005)
48.8% (8,919)
+2.9%
Power Play
49.4% (77)
54.6% (624)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (409)
39.8% (992)
+3.2%
On power play, Couture has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Lizotte is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,332).
Lizotte shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Couture
Home
49.8% (1,780)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
51.6% (1,711)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Lizotte
Couture
P1
48.2%
47.9%
P2
52.8%
47.9%
P3
50.7%
49.2%
OT
66.7%
48.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
50.7%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 16:59 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 15:19 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:13 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:51 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 03:23 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 01:59 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 03:03 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 19:47 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 04:47 | Offensive | Logan Couture |