Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Couture on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Couture 48.3% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Couture leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Couture 54.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 54.6%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 50.3%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Lizotte
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Lizotte
Couture
Last 10: Lizotte 7-3 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
4
2
Lizotte
Couture
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
4
Lizotte
Couture
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
1
Lizotte
Couture
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
48.8% (8,919)
+2.8%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
54.6% (624)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
39.8% (992)
+2.5%
On power play, Couture has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Couture
Home
49.5% (1,840)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Lizotte
Couture
P1
48.0%
47.9%
P2
52.3%
47.9%
P3
50.5%
49.2%
OT
75.0%
48.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 16:59 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 15:19 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:13 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:51 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 03:23 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 01:59 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 03:03 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 19:47 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 04:47 | Offensive | Logan Couture |