Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lizotte wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.1% vs Getzlaf 51.1% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 59.4%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 74.7%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 63.0%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 67.9%
32.1%
67.9%
Lizotte
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Lizotte
Getzlaf
Last 8: Lizotte 6-2 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Getzlaf
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
1
Lizotte
Getzlaf
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Getzlaf
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (549)
51.6% (812)
-1.3%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
55.3% (94)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (50)
45.2% (126)
-1.2%
On power play, Lizotte has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Lizotte is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Lizotte shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Getzlaf
Home
48.5% (336)
52.5% (531)
Away
52.1% (286)
49.9% (503)
By Period
Lizotte
Getzlaf
P1
48.2%
47.8%
P2
54.1%
54.6%
P3
47.1%
52.6%
OT
100.0%
27.8%
Final 5 min
49.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.2%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 16:20 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 00:33 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 2 | 06:57 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |