Scouting Report
Ty Dellandrea holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Dellandrea 51.9% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dellandrea 79.4%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 63.8%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 66.2%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Lizotte
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lizotte
Dellandrea
Last 5: Lizotte 4-1 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
1
Lizotte
Dellandrea
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
0
Lizotte
Dellandrea
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Dellandrea
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
54.1% (355)
-1.2%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
53.8% (13)
-28.8%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
47.6% (143)
-4.5%
On power play, Dellandrea has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Lizotte is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Lizotte shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Dellandrea
Home
44.2% (242)
54.3% (278)
Away
56.0% (234)
49.8% (233)
By Period
Lizotte
Dellandrea
P1
49.6%
54.2%
P2
46.9%
50.6%
P3
52.6%
51.8%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:17 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |