Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs Parise 46.2% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Parise 53.8%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 91.4%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 74.7%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Lizotte
Parise
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lizotte
Parise
Last 5: Lizotte 4-1 Parise
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Parise
0
1
Lizotte
Parise
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
0
Lizotte
Parise
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Parise
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Parise
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (316)
45.0% (40)
+8.2%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
36.8% (38)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (25)
50.0% (4)
-22.0%
On penalty kill, Parise has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Parise shoots left. Lizotte is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Lizotte shoots left. Parise is 37.0% vs left-shot opponents (54).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Parise
Home
46.9% (177)
39.5% (38)
Away
54.8% (177)
43.2% (44)
By Period
Lizotte
Parise
P1
42.3%
38.1%
P2
51.8%
47.4%
P3
60.9%
35.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.8%
Parise
28.0%▼
36.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 05:03 | Offensive | Zach Parise |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 02:29 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |